Finalmente Estate…


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Ebbene sì, dopo tanta attesa pare che ora l’Estate Meteorologica 2013 voglia finalmente esordire, e lo farà ufficialmente con  la prima vera onda calda della stagione. Aria calda di origine nord-africana stà affluendo  su Italia e Balcani, spingendosi  a tratti sino alla Bassa Mittel-Europa. La causa di tale scenario barico è da attribuire all’azione di una goccia fredda in sede Iberica-Portoghese che in queste ore stà arrecando  forte maltempo sui Pirenei. Ed è proprio  tale goccia  che  ha contribuito  ad attivare  di “risposta” un corridoio di masse d’aria  con direttrice prevalente Sud-Ovest / Nord-Est. Quindi temperature e afa in aumento per i prossimi giorni.

Picco del caldo previsto  tra giovedì-venerdì  proprio al Centro-Sud Italia dove per alcune aree interne di pianura ( Sardegna,Foggiano, Metapontino,Piana di Sibari, Valle Crati,  Piana di Catania) vige già l’Allerta Meteo:  in queste zone  si potrebbero  toccare i +38°/39°C. La situazione poi potrebbe nuovamente cambiare già dal week-end. Alla luce degli ultimi aggiornamenti modellistici la goccia fredda iberica si dovrebbe spostare verso Nord-Est , quel tanto che basta a richiamare masse d’aria più fresche da Nord-Ovest anche sull’Italia. Ci teniamo a precisare che il cambio circolatorio sarà piu’ pronunciato al Nord, specie settore alpino (tra domenica-lunedì prossimi in alcune aree del Nord-Est potrebbero svilupparsi forti temporali con possibili violente grandinate).  Centro e Sud più ai margini del peggioramento piovoso, ma comunque il cambio circolatorio ci sarà anche qui. L’attivazione di venti con componente da  Nord-Ovest farà arretrare il caldo africano in direzione sud, si ritornerà quindi a temperature più consone al periodo dell’anno almeno sino a metà della prossima settimana. E a lungo termine, ad oggi, pare prevalere l’ipotesi dell’Anticiclone delle Azzorre, con un giugno 2013 che potrebbe concludersi con clima stabile ma con  caldo nella norma.

 

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